kitaR

trading is like the deep sea. anyone can see the surface, but the prizes are found in the depths.

kitaR is my personal trading kit, eventually a blueprint designed to turn human observation into systematic discipline. it is the synergy of intuition and math that I call co-quant.

this is how i manage my R. this is how you can build your own.

"the ocean doesn't care if you're right."

@oxkitng Shop
Daily Economic Briefing

Wednesday, 15 April 2026

MOVE 84.20 ⚠ NFCI -0.421 Loose
📊 Liquidity & Stress Metrics — The "Gnosis" Pulse
Metric Value Interpretation Status
MOVE Index 84.20 Rising above 80. The naval blockade and "Tax Day" liquidity drains are introducing the first real stress into the bond market this week. Alert
SOFR (Repo Rate) 3.64% Marginal uptick from 3.58%, but still reflects smooth institutional "plumbing" with no repo squeeze. Normal
NFCI (Financial Conditions) -0.421 Despite the MOVE spike, overall financial conditions remain firmly negative (loose). The "Train" is still fueled by ample system liquidity. Supportive
Gnosis Interpretation

MOVE has crossed above 80 — a first stress signal — but the NFCI remains firmly loose at -0.421. The "Train" is still fueled; watch whether MOVE continues climbing toward 90 as the key risk threshold.

📅 Economic Calendar — Dual-Timezone Schedule
Event EST (US) GMT+8 (Local) Importance Notes
Tax Day Liquidity Drain All Day All Day High Expect lower net liquidity as funds exit to settle US tax liabilities.
Empire State Manufacturing 08:30 AM 20:30 Medium Follow-up to yesterday's hot PPI; looking for cost-push signals.
🚨 EIA Crude Oil Inventories 10:30 AM 22:30 CRITICAL First inventory data since the blockade began. Key for the "Inflation Trap" narrative.
Fed Governor Barr Speech 12:45 PM 00:45 (Next Day) Medium Focusing on rural investment and general economic resilience.
🏛️ Geopolitical & Fed Watch
🕊️ Trump & The "End of War"

President Trump claimed the Iran conflict is "very close to over," as Pakistan brokers direct talks.

Blockade Strategy: Enforcement continues. US Central Command is monitoring vessels for "dark" AIS signals attempting to bypass naval inspections.
🏛️ Fed Chair Powell

No scheduled speech today. Market focus is on the May 15 expiration of his term and potential confirmation of a successor.

📈 Trading Strategy — ES Futures
22:30 Volatility Window
The EIA Crude Oil Inventories report is the main event. If inventories show a major draw (shortage), watch for a MOVE index spike toward 90.
Liquidity Check
If the ES dips but the NFCI remains loose (-0.4 or lower), the framework suggests the "Train" is still on track and the dip may be bought.
Volume Chart (1.5k)
Watch the 20:30 (Empire State) and 22:30 (EIA) candles for high-velocity moves.
🧭 The Philosophy — Why vs. How

many traders are looking for a "how" i.e. a simple signal or a fancy new concept to follow. but to survive the deep sea, you need the why.

in the kitaR blueprint, I prefer to use studies over "indicators". the distinction is more than just professional terminology used by platforms like Sierra Chart and MotiveWave; it represents a fundamental shift in mindset. While the retail world often treats an indicator as a "signal" to follow blindly, a study is an active piece of research. It is a mathematical lens through which we analyze the market's auction process.

indicators tell you what happened; studies tell you why it's happening. while popular concepts like ict are catchy and easy-to-follow, they are often just pieces of a larger puzzle. for the trader hungry for the truth, we go back to the basics: macro context and order flow.

the market isn't just an algorithm. it's an ecosystem of big fish and small fish. to catch the prize, you have to understand why, where, when and how the fish swim.

⚙️ The co-quant Toolkit
MACRO
answers the "why"

the macro landscape is the invisible hand moving the ocean. before we look at a chart, we must understand the environment we are navigating. for eg, geopolitical risk dictate how global tensions and shifts in power create ripples in liquidity and volatility; the "red folders" such as cpi, nfp, fomc data are not interpreted just as numbers, but as the drivers of the market's next major trend.

TPO
answers the "where"

my favorite study for structural context. it tells us where the price is likely to range or expand. it's the map of the ocean floor.

FISHER
answers the "when"

fisher is one of the many useful mathematical studies that helps to identify when the market is overbought or oversold. it tells us when the current is overstretched and ready to turn.

ORDER FLOW
answers the "how"

if macro is the tide, order flow is the movement of the fish. order flow provides the high-resolution evidence we need to execute our strategies with precision. it is the real-time record of every decision made on the tape. it tells us how the price is actually moving at the point of execution. exhaustion & absorption identify when the "big fish" are done buying or when they are quietly absorbing every "small fish" sell order. pulling & stacking observe changing hands in the limit order book.

📚 The Library — Navigation Resources
Source Specialty The Role
gnosisresearch by yusuf Macro The global current. Understanding the "why" before the "how".
orderflow labs Technical Execution The high-resolution radar for execution.
TPO (Market Profile) Structural Context Finding the "where" in the daily and weekly range.
💬 Closing Thought — oxkit

"a system doesn't have to be over-complicated. eventually, we are all just looking for the pullback, the breakout, or the trend. the blueprint is simply the discipline to wait for them."

Total Payouts Received
$91,223.95
Money confirmed in bank
Total Fees Paid
-$20,099.30
Challenge costs (all firms)
Net Prop Firm P&L
$71,124.65
Payouts minus all fees
Personal Live P&L
$-1,236.65
AMP + HyperLiquid combined
Overall Net P&L
$69,888.00
Prop + Personal Live
ROI on Fees
354%
4.5x return on fees paid
Monthly Net P&L (Payouts − Fees)
Cumulative Net P&L
Monthly Fees vs Payouts
Firm P&L Breakdown
Prop Firm Breakdown
Firm Net P&L Total Payouts Total Costs ROI Cost Category
APEX +$36,849.40 $39,508.00 -$2,658.60 +1386% Challenge Fee
MFFU +$18,203.32 $23,439.35 -$5,236.03 +348% Challenge Fee
Tradeify +$7,959.13 $8,761.83 -$802.70 +992% Challenge Fee
TopStep +$7,264.85 $10,144.00 -$2,879.15 +252% Challenge Fee
Blusky +$7,167.40 $7,952.90 -$785.50 +912% Challenge Fee
Lucid +$1,915.55 $2,352.05 -$436.50 +439% Challenge Fee
GFF -$35.00 $0.00 -$35.00 -100% Challenge Fee
Earn2Trade -$120.00 $0.00 -$120.00 -100% Challenge Fee
Raen -$389.00 $0.00 -$389.00 -100% Challenge Fee
TPT -$569.00 $0.00 -$569.00 -100% Challenge Fee
TFT -$7,418.00 $1,592.00 -$9,010.00 -82% Challenge Fee
AMP — Personal Live Account
Current Balance $0.00
Total Deposits
$2,730.00
Total Withdrawals
$1,433.91
Trading Gains
$3,495.90
Trading Losses
-$4,791.99
Win / Loss
30 / 29
Win Rate
51%
Avg Win
$116.53
Avg Loss
-$165.24
HyperLiquid — Personal Live Account
Current Balance
📋 Account & Payout History
🟢 SIM FUNDED ACCOUNT — TopStep 50k XFA Consistency
Account: EXPRESS-V2-CT-45281-27848466  ·  Started: 13/4/2026  · 
Rules:
Min 3 Days Traded
40% Consistency Cap
Payout: 50% of Profit
Max $6,000 per Request
Max Loss $2,000
Balance
Current Balance
$273.78
Highest Trailing
$273.78
Best Single Day
$0.00
Trading Days
Total Trading Days
1
Min Days (Payout)
3
Drawdown & Consistency
Drawdown Floor
Drawdown Used
Consistency Check
🟢 SIM FUNDED ACCOUNT — Lucid 150k Sim Funded
Account: LFF1506245655001  ·  Started: 9/4/2026  · 
Rules:
EOD Trailing Drawdown
Max Loss $4,500
5 Days × $250+ to Qualify
Payout: 50% of Total Profit
5 Payouts → Go Live
No Consistency Rule
Balance
Current Balance
$150,445.00
Highest Trailing
$150,445.00
Best Single Day
$0.00
Trading Days
Total Trading Days
1
Qualifying Days ($250+)
1
Drawdown & Consistency
Drawdown Floor
Drawdown Used
✓ No Consistency Required
No single-day profit cap. Trade freely — only drawdown applies.
🟡 CHALLENGE ACCOUNT — Take Profit Trader (TPT) 25k
Account: TPT2658347  ·  Started: 24/3/2026  · 
Rules:
EOD Trailing Drawdown $1,500
Profit Target $1,500
Min 5 Trading Days
Consistency: Best Day < 50% of Total Profit
⏰ Renews 25 Apr 2026
Balance
Current Balance
$25,801.00
Highest Trailing
$25,801.00
Best Single Day
$750.00
Trading Days
Total Trading Days
1
Min Trading Days
5
Drawdown & Consistency
Drawdown Floor
Drawdown Used
Consistency Check
Profit Progress & Renewal Countdown
Profit Progress
Renewal Countdown
🟣 CHALLENGE ACCOUNT — BluSky PROPEL 50K
Account: BSKEPREMIUMYEE12937  ·  Started: 8/4/2026  · 
Phase: Evaluation Phase
Rules:
EOD Trailing Drawdown $2,000
Profit Target $3,000
Consistency: Best Day < 30% of Profit ($900 cap)
Balance
Current Balance
$49,735.60
Highest Trailing
$50,433.00
Best Single Day
$900.00
Trading Days
Total Trading Days
1
Min Trading Days
Drawdown & Consistency
Drawdown Floor
Drawdown Used
Consistency Check
Profit Progress & Renewal Countdown
Profit Progress
Renewal Countdown