trading is like the deep sea. anyone can see the surface, but the prizes are found in the depths.
kitaR is my personal trading kit, eventually a blueprint designed to turn human observation into systematic discipline. it is the synergy of intuition and math that I call co-quant.
this is how i manage my R. this is how you can build your own.
"the ocean doesn't care if you're right."
| Metric | Value | Interpretation | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOVE Index | 84.20 | Rising above 80. The naval blockade and "Tax Day" liquidity drains are introducing the first real stress into the bond market this week. | Alert |
| SOFR (Repo Rate) | 3.64% | Marginal uptick from 3.58%, but still reflects smooth institutional "plumbing" with no repo squeeze. | Normal |
| NFCI (Financial Conditions) | -0.421 | Despite the MOVE spike, overall financial conditions remain firmly negative (loose). The "Train" is still fueled by ample system liquidity. | Supportive |
MOVE has crossed above 80 — a first stress signal — but the NFCI remains firmly loose at -0.421. The "Train" is still fueled; watch whether MOVE continues climbing toward 90 as the key risk threshold.
| Event | EST (US) | GMT+8 (Local) | Importance | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tax Day Liquidity Drain | All Day | All Day | High | Expect lower net liquidity as funds exit to settle US tax liabilities. |
| Empire State Manufacturing | 08:30 AM | 20:30 | Medium | Follow-up to yesterday's hot PPI; looking for cost-push signals. |
| 🚨 EIA Crude Oil Inventories | 10:30 AM | 22:30 | CRITICAL | First inventory data since the blockade began. Key for the "Inflation Trap" narrative. |
| Fed Governor Barr Speech | 12:45 PM | 00:45 (Next Day) | Medium | Focusing on rural investment and general economic resilience. |
President Trump claimed the Iran conflict is "very close to over," as Pakistan brokers direct talks.
No scheduled speech today. Market focus is on the May 15 expiration of his term and potential confirmation of a successor.
| Firm | Net P&L | Total Payouts | Total Costs | ROI | Cost Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APEX | +$36,849.40 | $39,508.00 | -$2,658.60 | +1386% | Challenge Fee |
| MFFU | +$18,203.32 | $23,439.35 | -$5,236.03 | +348% | Challenge Fee |
| Tradeify | +$7,959.13 | $8,761.83 | -$802.70 | +992% | Challenge Fee |
| TopStep | +$7,264.85 | $10,144.00 | -$2,879.15 | +252% | Challenge Fee |
| Blusky | +$7,167.40 | $7,952.90 | -$785.50 | +912% | Challenge Fee |
| Lucid | +$1,915.55 | $2,352.05 | -$436.50 | +439% | Challenge Fee |
| GFF | -$35.00 | $0.00 | -$35.00 | -100% | Challenge Fee |
| Earn2Trade | -$120.00 | $0.00 | -$120.00 | -100% | Challenge Fee |
| Raen | -$389.00 | $0.00 | -$389.00 | -100% | Challenge Fee |
| TPT | -$569.00 | $0.00 | -$569.00 | -100% | Challenge Fee |
| TFT | -$7,418.00 | $1,592.00 | -$9,010.00 | -82% | Challenge Fee |